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Shipping and the Policy Minefield
The regular macroeconomic data tell a tale of more of the same. US data shows upgraded Q2 GDP growth of 3.0% annualised, inflation of 2.7% unemployment of 4.2% and a cut in the Fed Funds 25 basis points to a range of 4.00% to 4.25%, since cut by a further 0.25%. Chinese GDP growth in Q2 was 5.2%; August inflation was -0.4%, August unemployment was 5.3% and the 1 year policy rate in September was 3.0%. In Japan, GDP growth for Q2 has been revised up to 2.2%; inflation was a 2.

Mark Williams
Nov 56 min read


Gold, Bitcoin...and Oil Tankers?
De-dollarisation and inflation hedging strategies can include ships Russia relies on Indian and Chinese buyers of its oil to fund its war...

Mark Williams
Oct 94 min read


The Six Dimensions of Shipping's Destiny
If you have heard me speak to an audience in the last five years, you may have heard me talk about the 6 D's of shipping’s future in the...

Mark Williams
Sep 299 min read
Xi Outlines the Multipolar Future
China embraces the global south in counter to America First doctrine This is an excerpt from our latest Shipping Markets Monthly. To...

Mark Williams
Sep 87 min read
OPEC Bullish on Oil Demand, Unsurprisingly.
In contrast to the IEA’s bearish view on oil demand growth that it reported last week, this week OPEC has produced its oil demand...

Mark Williams
Jul 102 min read
Why Aren't Oil Prices Higher?
While the US and Israel attacked Iran, US President Donald Trump also had to worry about rising oil prices just as the US driving season...

Mark Williams
Jul 94 min read


After Liberation Day, what next?
April 20th is the date to watch. Here's why. L'etat, c'est Trump Here are direct quotations from President Trump's executive order...

Mark Williams
Apr 83 min read


Liberation Eve Musings on US Auto Tariffs
Driving America into a New Golden Age! Automotive manufacturing world-wide generated over $3 Tn in sales of cars and their parts in 2024....

Mark Williams
Apr 14 min read


CANZUK: A Political Pipe Dream?
Where does a post-Brexit Britain fit into the new multi-polar world and what are the implications for trade? In the years since Russia's...

Mark Williams
Mar 234 min read


A Grand Imperial Bargain
Kong Hei Fat Choi! Happy Lunar New Year! In the year of the wood snake, according to a Chinese horoscope I consulted, business will do...

Mark Williams
Jan 294 min read
A Generous Offer from the Houthi
This arrived unsolicited in my email inbox on Sunday evening: QUOTE Subject: Stopping the sanctions imposed on vessels listed on the ban...

Mark Williams
Jan 204 min read


For Shipping, Is the Chinese Party Over?
During this first quarter of the 21st century we have become accustomed to China driving global economic growth. The world’s economists...

Mark Williams
Nov 5, 20245 min read
Fun with FONASBA
This week I visited Athens as the guest of FONASBA, the Federation of National Associations of Ship Brokers & Agents. This year is their...

Mark Williams
Oct 17, 20246 min read


Shipping's Productivity Puzzle
Shipping demand is governed by global production levels but also by shipping's own productivity. The latter is endangered by the energy...

Mark Williams
Aug 12, 20247 min read


If the Fed Cuts Rates, Go Long BDI
MACRO Macchiato 2024 07 29 We are, it is generally acknowledged, near the top of the interest rate cycle. Since 2022, the US Federal...

Mark Williams
Jul 29, 20247 min read


Xi May Be the Reason...
Are disappointing economic news and increasing tension in the South China Sea connected? A wave of unwelcome economic data from China has...

Mark Williams
Jul 15, 20248 min read
Isolationism Update...
In the 23 hours since I published my last Macro Macchiato post in which I argued that China, India and Saudi Arabia's actions show that...

Mark Williams
Jul 12, 20242 min read


The Interconnected Global Community: Defying Isolationist Notions
In a world where deglobalization has become the fashionable political sentiment, the idea of isolationism seems increasingly popular. Yet...

Mark Williams
Jul 11, 20244 min read
Li Qiang Indicates China's Priorities
China's National People's Congress speech parsed for nuggets of useful information. The Chinese National People’s Congress (NPC) happened...

Mark Williams
Mar 8, 20245 min read


Would you buy a Capesize bulker today?
There has been a Capesize S&P “frenzy” so far in 2024, as one shipping paper put it as it reported the sale of the 181,400 Dwt, 2014...

Mark Williams
Feb 23, 20247 min read
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